BOLA AHMED TINUBU IS NOT WHO YOU THINK HE IS
Power, Patronage, Myth-Making, and How One Man Mastered Nigeria’s Political System
Bola Ahmed Tinubu is often reduced to caricature:
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“The godfather of Lagos”
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“The master strategist”
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“The most powerful man in Nigerian politics”
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“A symbol of everything wrong with Nigeria”
All are incomplete.
Tinubu is not just a man.
He is a political system that learned how Nigeria actually works — and exploited it better than anyone else.
PART I: THE MAKING OF TINUBU — NOT A MYSTERY, A METHOD
Tinubu’s early life is intentionally opaque — and that itself is revealing.
What is clear:
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Educated in the United States
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Worked in accounting and finance
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Returned to Nigeria during the dying years of military rule
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Entered politics through the Lagos elite corridor, not grassroots activism
Tinubu did not come in as a revolutionary.
He came in as a technocrat who understood money, structures, and leverage.
That matters.
PART II: 1999–2007 — LAGOS AS A POWER LABORATORY
As governor of Lagos State (1999–2007), Tinubu did something rare in Nigerian politics:
He built institutions that survived him.
Key moves:
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Aggressive internal revenue generation (IGR)
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Strengthening Lagos civil service structures
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Legal and fiscal battles with the federal government
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Creation of semi-autonomous agencies that collected and controlled cash flow
This is where the myth begins — but also the machinery.
Tinubu understood one brutal truth:
Political loyalty follows money, not morality.
PART III: THE GODFATHER LABEL — MISUNDERSTOOD BUT NOT WRONG
Is Tinubu a godfather?
Yes — but not the village-thug version Nigerians imagine.
Tinubu’s godfatherism is:
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Contractual, not emotional
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Institutional, not personal
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Long-term, not transactional
He doesn’t just “anoint” candidates.
He:
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Funds structures
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Controls party machinery
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Rewards loyalty
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Punishes rebellion quietly
In short:
He doesn’t rule individuals. He rules systems.
PART IV: THE MONEY QUESTION — THE CLOUD THAT NEVER LEAVES
This is the most sensitive part — so facts only.
Tinubu has:
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Faced long-standing questions about the origins of his wealth
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Been linked (in foreign court documents) to past investigations in the U.S. in the 1990s
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Never been criminally convicted of financial crimes
Two things can be true at once:
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Allegations and unresolved questions exist
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No court has legally proven guilt
What is undeniable:
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Tinubu mastered opaque wealth politics
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Nigeria does not seriously audit elite power
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Silence + legal technicalities often equal survival
This is not unique to Tinubu.
He is simply exceptionally good at it.
PART V: TINUBU AND DEMOCRACY — BELIEVER OR OPPORTUNIST?
Tinubu fought military dictatorship.
That part is real.
But post-1999, his version of democracy evolved into:
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Party supremacy over voters
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Loyalty over ideology
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Strategy over transparency
Tinubu believes in democracy the way a chess grandmaster believes in rules:
Only insofar as they can be played better than others.
PART VI: 2023 — THE FINAL ASCENT
Tinubu’s rise to the presidency was not accidental.
It was:
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20+ years of coalition building
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Control of party delegates
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Ethnic balancing
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Power bargaining
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Timing
He didn’t win because Nigerians loved him.
He won because he out-organized everyone.
That’s a hard truth many Nigerians still avoid.
PART VII: TINUBU VS OPRAH, DAVE, KANYE — SAME QUESTION, DIFFERENT TERRAIN
| Figure | Strategy | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Oprah | Integrate power | Longevity |
| Dave Chappelle | Withdraw from power | Autonomy |
| Kanye West | Reject all limits | Collapse |
| Tinubu | Capture power structures | Dominance |
Tinubu chose structure over sentiment.
In Nigerian politics, that choice usually wins.
PART VIII: IS TINUBU THE PROBLEM — OR THE MIRROR?
Here’s the uncomfortable part.
Tinubu did not invent:
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Corruption
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Patronage
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Elite impunity
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Godfatherism
He perfected them.
He is not Nigeria’s disease.
He is a symptom that learned how to thrive.
Remove Tinubu tomorrow, and the system remains.
That’s why many critics fear him — but also respect him.
FINAL VERDICT: BOLA TINUBU IS NOT WHO YOU THINK HE IS
He is not:
❌ A simple villain
❌ A savior
❌ A miracle strategist
❌ A cartoon godfather
He is:
✔ A master of Nigerian political reality
✔ A builder of durable power networks
✔ A man who understands that ideals don’t win elections — structures do
✔ Proof that Nigerian politics rewards patience, silence, and calculation
Tinubu did not conquer Nigeria.
Nigeria trained Tinubu — and he passed the test.